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authorScott Gasch <[email protected]>2026-09-18 20:11:14 -0700
committerScott Gasch <[email protected]>2026-09-18 20:11:14 -0700
commit73b82a01c6f1b15489608c7e2cf757180746f7b8 (patch)
tree587de6f6d2825f67063692878c93f8377e62c046 /src/script.c
parent187e321c450740dc0fba2c1d29917851d45a822f (diff)
ECM.md: classify f698c02's new ECM solve losses (5 legit, 4 flaky)
Investigated per the established HEAD-confidence methodology after the f698c02 checkpoint's aggregate sd10/sn5M drop (98/191->94/191, 99/191->98/191) looked concerning despite winning self-play against old HEAD, typhoon_conservative, and typhoon_liberal. Reran archived head_reference/archive/typhoon-4a7ec9a against all three curated suites to get real before/after logs (the in-place head_reference/logs/ had already been overwritten by update_head_reference.sh). 5 of the new losses are real (ECM.746/280/597, plus already-known 736/251); 4 are suite noise (ECM.357/717 abandon a confirmed move for an unconfirmed one at the last iteration, ECM.601 has no confirmation signature at all, ECM.193 wavers to the node-budget cutoff) -- roughly flat net real signal, not the large regression the raw aggregate suggested. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <[email protected]>
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